Page 48 - Managing Global Warming

Greenhouse gas removal and zero emissions energy production
Scenario 10: 1.8°C: Best plausible outcome—20% REC + 25% CIR with emissions peaking in 2017 and stabilizing at zero by 2057 and no GGR.
Cumulative emissions (Gt(C))
1000
500
700
800
400
900
300
200
100
600
Annual and cumulative emissions
projections 2014–2100
10
15
5
–1
20
Peak GGR 0
26
TFC
2100 Annual emissions/GGR (Gt(C) year ) 0 0 2100 2090 2080 2070 2060 2050 2040 2030 2020 2010 Net emissions (Gt(C) year –1 ) GGR (Gt(C) year –1 ) Emissions (Gt(C) year –1 ) Cumulative emissions (Gt(C)) Target cum emissions Continued 33
2090 2080 TFC/year (EJ)
Annual energy projections 2014–2100 2070 2060 2050 ZEE/year (EJ)
2030 2040 FF/year (EJ)
2020
2010 0
200
1200
1000
1600
1800
1400
600
400
800
—cont’d Total final consumption (EJ) 2100 1
2.2 +1.8°C Residual emissions (Gt(C) year –1 ) ZEE index 11
Box