Page 50 - Managing Global Warming

34
Scenario 11: 1.5°C: Best plausible outcome—no REC or CIR with emissions peaking in 2017 and stabilizing at zero by 2057 with GGR starting
Cumulative emissions (Gt(C))
600
700
900
800
500
200
100
400
300
2100
GGR (Gt(C) year –1 )
Annual and cumulative emissions
2090
projections 2014–2100
2080
2070
Net emissions (Gt(C) year –1 )
Cumulative emissions (Gt(C))
2060
2050
2040
2030
2020
Emissions (Gt(C) year –1 )
2010
Target cum emissions
0
5
10
15
1.7 Gt(C) year –1 in 2032
Annual emissions/GGR (Gt(C) year )
–1
2018
2018
Peak GGR
TFC
2100 0 –5 Managing Global Warming
2090 2080 TFC/year (EJ)
Annual energy projections 2014–2100 2070 2060 2050 ZEE/year (EJ)
2032. 2040
by 2030 FF/year (EJ)
Gt(C)/yr 0 2020 2010
—cont’d 1.7 reaching 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 Total final consumption (EJ) 200
2.2 2025 +1.5°C ZEE index 14
Box in