Page 51 - Managing Global Warming
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34 Managing Global Warming
Scenario 11: 1.5°C: Best plausible outcome—no REC or CIR with emissions peaking in 2017 and stabilizing at zero by 2057 with GGR starting
900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 Cumulative emissions (Gt(C)) 100 0
2100 2090 GGR (Gt(C) year –1 )
Annual and cumulative emissions projections 2014–2100 2080 2070 2060 2050 2040 Net emissions (Gt(C) year –1 ) Cumulative emissions (Gt(C))
2020 2030
2010
15 –1 10 5 0 Annual emissions/GGR (Gt(C) year ) –5 Emissions (Gt(C) year –1 )
Peak GGR 1.7 Gt(C) year –1 in 2032 2018 TFC 2018 Target cum emissions
2100
2090 2080 TFC/year (EJ)
Annual energy projections 2014–2100 2070 2060 2050 ZEE/year (EJ)
2032. 2040
by 2030 FF/year (EJ)
Gt(C)/yr 0 2020 2010
—cont’d 1.7 reaching 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 Total final consumption (EJ) 200
2.2 2025 +1.5°C ZEE index 14
Box in
