Page 47 - Managing Global Warming

32 Managing Global Warming

Scenario 9: 2°C: Worst plausible outcome—emissions peak in 2040 and stabilize at 10Gt(C)/yr by 2056, GGR starts in 2030 and reaches 14.7Gt

1200 1000 800 600 400 200 Cumulative emissions (Gt(C)) 0
2100 2090 2080 Net emissions (Gt(C) year –1 )
Annual and cumulative emissions projections 2014–2100 2070 2060 2050 2040 GGR (Gt(C) year –1 ) Cumulative emissions (Gt(C))

2010 2030 2020
20 –1 15 10 5 0 –5 –10 –15 Annual emissions/GGR (Gt(C) year ) –20 Emissions (Gt(C) year –1 )

Peak GGR 14.7 Gt(C) year –1 in 2089 TFC Target cum emissions

2100
2090 2080 TFC/year (EJ)
Annual energy projections 2014–2100 2070 2060 2050 ZEE/year (EJ)

2030 2040 FF/year (EJ)
2020 0 2010

—cont’d 2089. 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 Total final consumption (EJ) 200

2.2 by +2°C ZEE index 12
Box (C)/yr