Page 49 - Managing Global Warming

Greenhouse gas removal and zero emissions energy production 33

Continued
Scenario 10: 1.8°C: Best plausible outcome—20% REC + 25% CIR with emissions peaking in 2017 and stabilizing at zero by 2057 and no GGR.

1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 Cumulative emissions (Gt(C)) 100 0
2100 2090 2080 Net emissions (Gt(C) year –1 )
Annual and cumulative emissions projections 2014–2100 2070 2060 2050 2040 GGR (Gt(C) year –1 ) Cumulative emissions (Gt(C))

2020 2030
2010
15 –1 10 5 Annual emissions/GGR (Gt(C) year ) 0
20 26 Emissions (Gt(C) year –1 ) Target cum emissions
Peak GGR 0 TFC

2100
2090 2080 TFC/year (EJ)
Annual energy projections 2014–2100 2070 2060 2050 ZEE/year (EJ)

2030 2040 FF/year (EJ)
2020
2010 0
200
400
1400
1600
1800
1200
600
800
1000
—cont’d Total final consumption (EJ) 2100 1
2.2 +1.8°C Residual emissions (Gt(C) year –1 ) ZEE index 11
Box