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232              Chapter 4                                              Vector Spaces

                                    Solution: Determine the parabola f(t)= α 0 + α 1 t + α 2 t 2  that best fits the
                                    observed data in the least squares sense. Then estimate where the missile will
                                    land by determining the roots of f (i.e., determine where the parabola crosses
                                    the horizontal axis). As it stands, the problem will involve numbers having rela-
                                    tively large magnitudes in conjunction with relatively small ones. Consequently,
                                    it is better to first scale the data by considering one unit to be 1000 miles. If

                                                 1  0     0                                  0
                                                                                             
                                                                          
                                                1  .25  .0625         α 0                .008 
                                          A =  1   .5   .25  ,  x =    α 1    ,  and  b =  .015  ,
                                               
                                                             
                                                                                                
                                                                                          
                                                 1  .75  .5625          α 2                 .019
                                                                                             
                                                 1  1     1                                  .02
                                    and if ε = Ax − b, then the object is to find a least squares solution x that
                                    minimizes
                                                       5
                                                           2   T            T
                                                          ε = ε ε =(Ax − b) (Ax − b).
                                                           i
                                                       i=1
                                    We know that such a least squares solution is given by the solution to the system
                                                        T
                                                                T
                                    of normal equations A Ax = A b, which in this case is
                                                                                       
                                                5      2.5    1.875        α 0      .062
                                                2.5    1.875  1.5625            =   .04375    .
                                                                         α 1           
                                                1.875  1.5625  1.3828125   α 2      .0349375
                                    The solution (rounded to four significant digits) is
                                                                           −4  
                                                                  −2.286 × 10
                                                            x =    3.983 × 10  −2   ,
                                                                  −1.943 × 10 −2

                                    and the least squares parabola is
                                                                                      2
                                                     f(t)= −.0002286 + .03983t − .01943t .

                                    To estimate where the missile will land, determine where this parabola crosses
                                    the horizontal axis by applying the quadratic formula to find the roots of f(t)
                                    to be t = .005755 and t =2.044. Therefore, we estimate that the missile will
                                    land 2044 miles down range. The sum of the squares of the errors associated with
                                    the least squares solution is

                                                 5
                                                    2   T            T                     −7
                                                   ε = ε ε =(Ax − b) (Ax − b)=4.571 × 10     .
                                                    i
                                                i=1
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