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4.6 Classical Least Squares                                                        233

                                    Least Squares vs.Lagrange Interpolation. Instead of using least squares,
                                    fit the observations exactly with the fourth-degree Lagrange interpolation poly-
                                    nomial
                                                     11      17   2      1    3        1      4
                                               (t)=    t +       t −          t +            t
                                                    375    750000    18750000     46875000000
                                    described in Example 4.3.5 on p. 186 (you can verify that  (t i )= b i for each
                                    observation). As the graph in Figure 4.6.5 indicates,  (t) has only one real
                                    nonnegative root, so it is worthless for predicting where the missile will land.
                                    This is characteristic of Lagrange interpolation.






                                                                    y =  (t)







                                                                  Figure 4.6.5

                                    Computational Note: Theoretically, the least squares solutions of Ax = b
                                                                                   T
                                                                                            T
                                    are exactly the solutions of the normal equations A Ax = A b, but form-
                                    ing and solving the normal equations to compute least squares solutions with
                                    floating-point arithmetic is not recommended. As pointed out in Example 4.5.1
                                    on p. 214, any sensitivities to small perturbations that are present in the under-
                                    lying problem are magnified by forming the normal equations. In other words, if
                                    the underlying problem is somewhat ill-conditioned, then the system of normal
                                    equations will be ill-conditioned to an even greater extent. Numerically stable
                                    techniques that avoid the normal equations are presented in Example 5.5.3 on
                                    p. 313 and Example 5.7.3 on p. 346.

                   Epilogue

                                    While viewing a region in the Taurus constellation on January 1, 1801, Giuseppe
                                    Piazzi, an astronomer and director of the Palermo observatory, observed a small
                                    “star” that he had never seen before. As Piazzi and others continued to watch
                                    this new “star”—which was really an asteroid—they noticed that it was in fact
                                    moving, and they concluded that a new “planet” had been discovered. However,
                                    their new “planet” completely disappeared in the autumn of 1801. Well-known
                                    astronomers of the time joined the search to relocate the lost “planet,” but all
                                    efforts were in vain.
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