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184             Chapter 3  State Variable Models









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             Ms)                                   Y(.s)  R(s)                 - — •   10


                                                                          2









                                (a)                                          (b)
                            FIGURE 3.19  (a) The decoupled state variable flow graph model for the system shown in block
                            diagram form in Figure 3.17. (b) The decoupled state variable block diagram model.

                            EXAMPLE   3.3  Spread of an epidemic disease
                            The  spread  of  an  epidemic  disease  can  be  described  by  a set  of  differential  equa-
                            tions. The  population  under  study  is made  up  of  three  groups, x h  x 2,  and  x 3,  such
                                                                                    is infected  with the
                            that the group x± is susceptible to the epidemic disease, group x 2
                            disease, and group  x 3  has been removed  from  the initial population. The removal  of
                            x 3  will be due to immunization, death, or isolation from  jq. The feedback  system  can
                            be represented by the following  equations:

                                                    dxi
                                                        =  —axi  -  /3*2  +  «i(0i
                                                    dt
                                                    dx 2
                                                        =  0*!  -  yx 2  +  K 2(0*
                                                    dt
                                                    dx 3
                                                              +  yx 2.
                                                          ax {
                                                    dt
                                The  rate  at which new  susceptibles  are  added  to the  population  is equal to  U\(t),
                            and the rate at which new infectives are added to the population  is equal to u 2(t).  For a
                            closed population, we have u\(t)  =  u 2{t)  =  0. It is interesting to note that these equa-
                            tions  could  equally  well represent  the  spread  of  information  or  a  new idea  through  a
                            population.
                                The  physical  state  variables  for  this system  are  x u  x 2,  and  x 3. The model  that
                            represents  this  set  of  differential  equations  is  shown  in  Figure  3.20. The  vector
                            differential  equation  is equal  to


                                            * i     —a  -)8    0   Xl     1  0
                                         d                                        «i(0
                                            *2   —        -y   0   *2   +   0   1              (3.63)
                                         dt                                       "2(0
                                            x         a        0          0  0
                                            , 3            y     _ * 3 _
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