Page 62 - Petrology of Sedimentary Rocks
P. 62

We  start   out  with   the  assumption   that   both   have   the  same   heavy   mineral   content
        and  proceed   to  compute   our  expected   frequencies   on  this   basis.   To  figure   the  number
        of  green   tourmalines   expected   in  a  count   of  45  grains   of  the  Eli  formation,   we  decide
        (from   looking   at  the  totals)   that   40/96   of  the  grains   should   be  green;   thus  we  expect   45
        times   40/96   green   grains   in  the  Eli,  or  18.7.   Since  there   were   a  total   of  40  green   grains
        counted,   then   we’d  expect   40-18.7   or  21.3  green   grains   to  occur   in  the  Nineteenten.

              The   expected   number   of  browns   is  45  times   22/96   or   10.3  for  Eli,  and  22-10.3   or
        I  1.7  for   Nineteenten.   For  “others”   we  expect   45  times   34/96   or  15.9  for   Eli,   and  34-
        15.9  or   18.1  for   Nineteenten.   Now   we  set  up  the  following   table,   subtracting   0.5  from
        each   of  the   differences,   giving   our   corrected   differences   (the   reason   we  subtract   0.5
        from   each   difference   is  a  “correction   for   continuity”   because   obviously   you  cannot
        count   fractional   grains,   and   IO  grains   is  as  close   as  you  can  possibly   get  to  an  expected
        frequency   of  10.3  grains).



                                             Eli    Nineteenten
                          Observed           I5          25          For   each   of   the   six   “cells”
              Green       Expected           18.7        21.3        (three   tourml’aline   varieties   in
                          Difference          3.7         3.7        each   of   two   formations)   we
                          Corr.   Diff.       3.2         3.2        square   the   corrected   differ-
                                                                     ence   and  divide   it  by  the  ex-
                                                                                        for’  that
                          Observed           IO          I2          pected   frequency   ---     one
              Brown       Expected           10.3        II.7        cell.   Then   we   add   UD  these
                          Difference          0.3         0.3        values   for   the   entire   six  cells
                          Corr.   Diff.       0.3         0          and  the  total   gives   us  the  val-
                                                                     ue  of  X2   ,  in  this  example   2.56.
                          Observed           20          I4                     ,I   .I.      *.   .
              Other       Expected           15.9        18.  I      Symbolicarry,   tnrs  operarron   IS
                          Difference          4.  I       4.  I
                          Corr.   Diff.       3.6         3.6               X2  II

                                           0
       x2  = -+-+-+    10.24      0      -+-++$=   12.95             2.56
             10.24
             18.7      21.3      10.3    11.7      5.9
        We  enter   a  X2  table   (p.  60)  and  must  know   two  things:   our  value   for  X2  and  the  degrees
        of  freedom   (d.f.).   This   time   the  d.f.   is  obtained   by  multiplying   these   two   quantities:
        (number   of  horizontal   data   columns   minus   one)  times   (number   of  vertical   data   columns
        minus   one);   in  this   case  (3-l  X2-I),   or  two   degrees   of  freedom.   Again,   we  read   across
        the   horizontal   row   corresponding   with   the   proper   number   of  degrees   of  freedom   until

        we  find   our  value   of  X2  in  the  body  of  the  table.   Then   we  read   directly   up  to  the  top  of
        the   table   to  find   the  corresponding   “P”.   This   will   answer   the  question,   what   are  the
        chances   (out   of   100)  that   such   differences--or   larger--would   be  obtained   in  random
        sampling   of   two   uniform   formations   (or  in  sampling   a  homogeneous   population?)   Our
        result   came   out  P  =  approximately   .20,  in  other   words   there   is  one  chance   in  five   that
        we  have   sampled   a  homogeneous   population,   or  conversely,   four   chances   in  five   that   the
        formations   have   a  differing   tourmaline   content--   though   this   last   statement   is  not
        strictly   true.

              For   another   example,   consider   a  tire   company   that   for   years   has  averaged   31
        blowouts   per   million   tire   miles.   After   switching   to  a  new   type   rubber,   they   find   44
        blowouts   occur   in  the  next  million   miles.   Is  the  new  rubber   inferior,   or  is  this  merely   an

        expectable   chance   fluctuation   ?  Using   the  X2  test,   the  expected   frequency   would   have
        been   31   blowouts   for   the   new   tires.   (O-E)   is  44-31   or   13,  and   correcting   for




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