Page 335 - Pipeline Risk Management Manual Ideas, Techniques, and Resources
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14/312Absolute Risk Estimates
           Table 14.34  Sample "distance of concern" for natural gas pipelines   Table 14.36  Summary of setback requirements in codes. standards,
                                                      and other guides
           Characteristic                 Distance u?
                                                      Code, standard,   Setback requirement
           Population class 3 or4            660      guide        for tankporn public (jii  Yariables
           Hard-to-evacuate facilities (schools, day cares,   800
            prisons, elder care, rehabilitation clinics, etc.)   IFC 2000 (adopted   5-175   Tank size and type
           Hard-to-evacuate facilities, pipe diameter  30 in.,   1000   in Alaska and   of adjacent use
            and pressures  > 1000 psig                 proposed in
           Areas ofpublic assembly           660       municipality
           Areas of public assembly, pipe diameter > 30 in.,   1000   ofhchorage
            and pressures  > 1000 psig                UFC 2000     5-175          Tank size and type
                                                       @re-2001 in                  of adjacent
                                                       Alaska)
                                                      UFC 1997     50-75          Type ofadjacent use
                                                      APA          Performance standard   Site specific and
             In  cases of HVL pipeline modeling, default distances of               process driven
           1000 to  1500 ft are commonly seen, depending on pipeline   HUD   Buildings: 130-155   Product and tank
           diameter, pressure, and product characteristics. HVL releases   People: 650-775   size
           cases are very sensitive to weather conditions and carry the   USCG (open-water   150-> 10,000   Diameter of spill
           potential for unconfined vapor cloud explosions, each of which   fire)
           can greatly extend impact zones to more than a mile. (See also
           the discussion on land-use issues in a  following  section for   Source: Golder and Associates, "Report on Hazard Study for the Bulk
           thoughts on setback distances that are logically related to haz-   POL  Facilities  in  the  POA  Area,"  prepared  for  Municipality  of
                                                      Anchorage POL Task Force,  August 9,2002.
           ard zones.)                                Notes: APA. American Planning Association; USCG. US. Coast Guard
             A draft Michigan regulatory document suggests setback dis-   (USCG);  HUD,  Department  of  Housing  and  Urban  Development
           tances for buried high-pressure gas pipelines based on the HUD   (HUD).  The  National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) publishes
           guideline thermal radiation criteria. The proposed setback dis-   NFPA  Code  30,  Flammable and Combustible Liquids  Code,  2000
           tances are tabularized for pipeline diameters (from 4 to 26 in.)   Edition. The lnternational Code Council publishes the  lnternational
           and pressures (from 400 to 1800 psig in 100-psig increments).   Fife Code 2000 (IFC). The Western Fire Chiefs Association publishes
           The end points of the various tables are shown inTabIe 14.35.  It   the Unifofm Fife Code 2000 Edition (UFC).
           is not known ifthese distances will be codified into regulations.
           In some cases, the larger distances might cause repercussions
           regarding alternative land uses for existing pipelines. Land use
           regulations can have significant social, political, and economic
           ramifications, as are discussed in Chapter 15.   Any time default hazard zone distances replace situation-
             The U.S. Coast Guard (USCG) provides pdance on the safe   specific calculations, the defaults should be validated by actual
           distance for people and wooden buildings from the edge of a   calculations to ensure that they encompass most, ifnot all, pos-
           burning  spill  in  their  Hazard  Assessment  Handbook,   sible release scenarios for the pipeline systems being evaluated.
           Commandant Instruction Manual M 16465.13 . Safe distances
           range widely depending on the size of the burning area, which
           is assumed to be on open water. For people, the distances vary   XI.  Case studies
           from 150 to 10,100 ft, whereas for buildings the distances vary
           from 32 to  1900 ft for the same size spill. The spill radii for   The following case stumes illustrate some techmques that are
           these distances range between 10 and 2000 ft [35].   more  numerically rigorous  in  producing  absolute risk  esti-
             A summary of setback distances was published in a consult-   mates. These are all extracted from public domain documents
           ant report and is shown in Table 14.36.    readily obtained from Internet sources and/or proceedings from
                                                      regulatory approval processes. Company names and locations
                                                      have been changed since the focus here is solely on illustrating
           Table 14.35  Sample proposed setback distances   the  technique.  Other  minor  modifications  to  the  extracted
                                                      materials include the changing of table, figure, and reference
                                  Minimum setback Ifr,   numbering to correspond to the sequencing in this book.
                               4-in. pipeline   26-in.pipeline   Case Study A: natural gas
           Facility            a1400psig   at 1800psig
                                                      Quantitative risk calculations for XYZpipeline
           Multifamily developments
             (10,000 Btu/hr-A2 criteria)   40   318   The following case study illustrates the estimation ofrisk using
           Elderly and handicapped units   67   772   calculated hazard zones and frequency-based failure frequen-
           Unprotected areas of
             congregation                             cies for a natural gas pipeline. Portions of this discussion were
           (450 Btuihr-A2 criteria)   147    3164     extracted or are based on Ref. [18], in which a proposed high-
           Primary egress          40         1489    pressure gas pipeline, having both onshore and offshore com-
                                                      ponents, was being evaluated. For this example, the proposed
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