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Chapter 16



         Risk Analysis applied to Subsea Engineering



        16.1  Introduction


        16.1.1  General
        In  recent years risk analysis has become increasingly recognized as an effective tool for the
        management of  safety, environmental pollution and financial risks in the pipeline industry.
        Since risk  analysis has  only recently become a part of  the  design process, few  practicing
        engineers are familiar with it. This chapter aims to introduce some auxiliary information and
        examples that will allow an easier understanding of risk analysis.


        After outlining the constituent steps of a complete risk analysis methodology, it is intended to
        give detailed information about each  step of  the methodology  such  that  a  complete risk
        analysis can be achieved (Sbrheim and Bai, 1999)

        Willcocks and  Bai  (2000)  gave  a  detailed  guidance  on  evaluation  of  failure  frequency,
        consequence, risk and risk-based inspection and integrity management of pipeline systems.

        16.1.2  Risk Analysis Objectives
        The objectives of risk analysis are:


        0  To identify and assess in terms of  likelihood and consequence all reasonably expected
           hazards to Health, Safety and the Environment in the design, construction and installation
           of a pipeline;
           To  ensure  adherence  to  the  appropriate  international,  national  and  organizational
           acceptance criteria.

        The risks considered in this chapter include:


        0  Societal (3d Party) Risk is the exposure to risk of  any person not employed by the Owner
           of the Pipeline. This is usually limited to passing fishing vessels and merchant shipping;
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