Page 162 - Reliability and Maintainability of In service Pipelines
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Case Studies on the Application of Structural Reliability 147
1
0.9
0.8
Probability of failure 0.6
0.7
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Time (year)
Figure 5.15 Probability of the pipe system failure (internal corrosion).
1
0.9
0.8
Probability of failure 0.6
0.7
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
Time (year)
Figure 5.16 Probability of the pipe system failure (external corrosion).
1
0.9 GDD model
0.8 Monte Carlo simulation method
Probability of failure 0.6
0.7
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Time (year)
Figure 5.17 Verification of the results from GDD model by Monte Carlo simulation
method (internal corrosion).
