Page 134 - Statistics and Data Analysis in Geology
P. 134

Spatial  Analysis

             The t-test compares the ratio between m/T and s2, which should be equal to 1.0 if
             the two statistics are the same
                                                      -
                                               (F) 1.0
                                            t=                                     (5.18)
                                                    Se
             The test has T - 1 degrees of  freedom.
                 For the eastern Permian Basin area, the variance in number of wells per tract is




             The standard error of  the mean number of wells per tract can be estimated as


                                          se  = & 0.112
                                                     =
             The t-statistic for the test of  equivalence of  the mean and variance is
                                         (1.05/1.46) - 1.0
                                     t=                   = -8.86
                                              0.112
                 At  a significance level of  o(  = 0.05 and  159 degrees of  freedom, the critical
             value of t for a two-tailed test is 1.96; the computed statistic far exceeds this and
             so we may conclude as we  did in the x2 test  that the spatial distribution is not
             random.  Since the variance is significantly greater than the mean, we must also
             conclude that discovery wells are areally clustered.

             CI ustered patterns
             Many naturally occurring spatial distributions show a pronounced tendency toward
             clustering.  This is especially true of certain biological variables, such as presence
             of  specific organisms or occurrences of  an infectious disease.  The descendants of
             a sedentary parent, perhaps a coral or a tree, tend to grow nearby, leading to devel-
             opment of  densely populated areas surrounded by areas that are relatively barren.
             Clustered patterns  of  points can be modeled by many theoretical  distributions,
             most of  which can be regarded  as combinations of  two or more simpler distribu-
             tions.  One of  the distributions describes the locations of  the centers of  clusters,
             while the other describes the pattern of individual points around the centers of the
             clusters.
                 The negative binomial distribution  can be used to model  the occurrence of
              clustered points in space in a manner equivalent to the use of the Poisson to model
             randomly  arranged points.  An extensive discussion with citations to studies in
             many fields is given by Ripley (1981). Griffiths (1962, 1966) advocated the use of
              the negative binomial as an appropriate model for the occurrence of  oil fields and
              ore bodies.
                  One derivation of  the negative binomial is as a compound Poisson and loga-
             rithmic distribution with clusters of points randomly located within a region; indi-
             vidual points within a cluster follow a logarithmic distribution. In the formulation
              appropriate for describing spatial patterns, the negative binomial is

                                                                     k
                                                                                    (5.19)


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