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L1592_frame_C37.fm  Page 332  Tuesday, December 18, 2001  3:20 PM









                                TABLE 37.2
                                Variance, Weights, and Relative Weights for the Nitrate Calibration Data
                                Nitrate
                                (mg/L)    Variance         Weights             Relative Weights
                                             2             2           2          2         2
                                  y         s         w == == 1/s  w == == 1/x  w == == 1/s  w == == 1/x
                                 0.05        324     0.0030832    400.0       30218     640000
                                 0.15        162     0.0061602    44.4        60374     71111
                                 0.28          6     0.1578947    13.2       1547491    21157
                                 0.40        3577    0.0002796     6.2         2740     10000
                                 0.80        180     0.0055453     1.6        54348      2500
                                 1.40        1963    0.0005094     0.51        4993       816
                                 2.00        193     0.0051813     0.25       50781       400
                                 4.00       41190    0.0000243     0.062        238       100
                                 7.00      102207    0.0000098     0.020         96        33
                                10.00     2073996    0.0000005     0.010         45        16
                                20.00     2122090    0.0000005     0.0025        5          4
                                30.00     9800774    0.0000001     0.0011        1          2
                                40.00     4047268    0.0000002     0.0006        2          1

                                          TABLE 37.3
                                          Diagnostic Statistics for the Cubic Calibration Curve
                                                                2
                                          Fitted Using Weights w i  = 1/s i
                                          Predictor  Parameter  Std. Dev.
                                          Variable  Estimate  of Estimate  t-ratio   p
                                          Constant    4.402    3.718     1.18  0.244
                                          x         6908.57   11.98     576.83  0.000
                                           2
                                          x          105.501   4.686     22.51  0.000
                                           3
                                          x          −1.4428   0.1184   −12.18  0.000
                       the t statistic, the value of p, or by computing the confidence interval, for each parameter. Roughly
                       speaking, a t value less than 2.5 means that the parameter is not significant. p is the probability that the
                       parameter is not significant. Small t corresponds to large p; t = 2.5 corresponds to p = 0.05, or 95%
                       confidence in the statement about significance. The half-width of approximate confidence interval is two
                       times the standard deviation of the estimate.
                        Setting the constant equal to zero and refitting the model gives:

                                                 y ˆ =  6920.8x +  101.68x –  1.35x 3
                                                                    2

                       Figure 37.6 shows the weighted residuals for the cubic model plotted as a function of the predicted
                       (fitted) peak value. A logarithmic horizontal axis was used to better display the residuals at the low
                       concentrations. (There was no log transformation involved in fitting the data.) The magnitude of the
                       residuals is the same over the range of the predicted variable. This is the condition that weighting was
                       supposed to create. Therefore, the weighted least squares is the correct approach. (It is left as an exercise
                       for the reader to do the unweighted regression and see that the residuals increase as y increases.)
                        Figure 37.7 shows log-log plots of σ i =  ay i b  for the nitrate calibration data. The estimated slope is
                                                     2
                                                            2
                       a = 2.0, which corresponds to weights of w i  = 1/  . Because the relation between x and y is nearly linear,
                                                           y i
                                                          2                         2          2
                       an excellent approximation would be w i  = 1/  . Obviously, the weights w i  = 1/  and w i  = 1/  will bex i  y i  x i
                       numerically different, and the estimated parameter values will be slightly different as well. The weighting
                       and the results, nevertheless, are valid. Weighting with respect to x is convenient because it can be done
                       when there are no replicate measurements with which to calculate variances of the y’s. Also, the weights
                       with respect to x will increase in a smooth pattern, whereas the calculated variances of the y’s do not.
                       © 2002 By CRC Press LLC
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