Page 24 - Sumatra Geology, Resources and Tectonic Evolution
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SEISMOLOGY & NEOTECTONICS                                       11


            on this portion  of the Sumatran  Fault, but revealed  very consider-   an  asperity  on  the  lower  plate.  However,  the  magnitude  of  the
            able  differences  in  detail  in  both  movement  magnitudes  and   December  2004  Simeulue  earthquake  suggests  a  'sticky',  rather
            directions.                                             than  well-lubricated,  fault  zone.
              Figure  2.4  shows  the  site  motions  relative  to  SE  Asia  as   The  combination  of  gradual  change  in  the  orientation  of  the
            interpreted  by  Prawirodirdjo  et  al.  (1997)  and  (also  relative  to   Indian  Ocean/SE  Asia  convergence  vector  and  the  change  in
            SE  Asia)  the  averaged  long  term  Indian  Ocean  movement   trench  orientation  at  the  Nias  Elbow  implies  almost  orthogonal
            vectors  (Demets  et  al.  1990).  Strain  partitioning  was  evidently   convergence  across  the  trench  in  the  vicinity  of  Simeulue
            only  partially  achieved,  at  least  over  the  short  time  interval   and  the  Banyak  Islands.  The  Sumatran  Fault,  however,  changes
            involved,  nor  were  movements  confined  to  the  main  fault   direction  much  less  noticeably,  and  the  differences  in  curvature
            systems.  Sites  east  of the  Sumatran  Fault  but  within  50 km  of it   of  structures  on  the  mainland  and  along  the  forearc  ridge
            were  not  stationary  with  respect  to  SE  Asia  but  recorded  small   produce  a  widening  and  deepening  of  the  forearc  basin  NW  of
            but  significant  displacements  to  the  north  and  NW.  Similar  pat-   Simeulue.  Rather  surprisingly,  the  GPS  motions  of the  two  sites
            terns  near  other  major  strike-slip  features  have  been  interpreted   in  the  Banyak  Islands  were  almost  perfectly  parallel  to  the  trend
            as  recording  stress  accumulations  in  wide  regions  of  deformed   of  the  Sumatran  Fault,  and  so  to  the  trench  further  south.  The
            rock  that  are  ultimately  released  by  faulting  (e.g.  Armijo  et  al.   lack of GPS  sites  on  Simeulue  means  that  short-term  neotectonic
            1999).                                                  patterns  in this  critical  area remain,  for the  moment,  undefined.
              Sites  in  the  forearc  experienced  much  larger  trench-parallel   The  data  from  GPS  measurements  and  triangulation  surveys
            displacements,  but  McCaffrey  et  al.  (2000)  argued  that  only   can  be  compared  with  long-term  slip  estimates  based  on  geolo-
            about  two-thirds  of  the  necessary  slip  was  accounted  for  and   gic  and  topographic  offsets  at the  Sumatran  Fault.  Slip  rates  esti-
            that most of the remainder  must have been  accommodated  ocean-   mated  from  stream  offsets  on  SPOT  imagery  vary  from
            ward  of  the  crest  of  the  forearc  ridge.  However,  the  situation   10 mm a -1  at  the  Sunda  Strait  to  23 mm a -1  near  Lake  Toba
            varied  considerably  from  place  to  place.  On  forearc  islands  in   (Bellier  &  Sebrier  1995).  Much  of  this  change  occurs  in  the
            the  Central  Domain  (between  the  Batu  and  Banyak  Islands)  the   Central  Domain,  where  the  rates  estimated  by  Sieh  &  Natawid-
            trench-normal  components  were  small,  suggesting  strong  parti-   jaja  (2000)  using  geological  offsets  increase  from  11  mm a  i  in
            tioning  of  convergent  and  transcurrent  movements,  but  it  seems   the  SE  to  27 mm a-1  in  the  NW.  Slip  rates  estimated  from  GPS
            that the forearc was largely coupled  to the downgoing  slab every-   observations  vary much  less,  increasing  by  only  4 mm a -1,  from
            where  to  the  south  of  the  Batu  Islands.  The  boundary  between   23 mm a-1  to  27 mm a-1,  over the  same  distance  (Genrich  et  al.
            the  two  regimes  occurs  in  the  region  where  the  Investigator   2000).  Sieh  &  Natawidjaja  (2000)  suggested  that  the  geologi-
            Fracture Zone enters the trench.  Prawirodirdjo  et  al.  (1997)  tenta-   cally  indicated  changes  in  slip  rates  along  the  fault  must  have
            tively  interpreted  the  northwestwards  decrease  in  coupling  as  a   developed  only  during  the  last  100 ka,  because  of  the  absence
            consequence  of the  subduction  of thick,  water-rich  sediments  of   of  compressional  accommodation  structures,  but  left  the  geo-
            the  Nicobar  Fan,  resulting  in  high  pore  pressures  in  the  forearc   logical-GPS  discrepancy  unexplained.  They  also  suggested
            wedge  and  weakening  of  the  upper  plate  by  the  introduction  of   that  the  total  slip  on  the  Sumatran  Fault  might  be  little  more
            hydrothermal  fluids.  The  change  in  coupling  would  thus  be  due   than  the  20 km  of  the  maximum  verifiable  geological  offset,
            to  the  barrier  to  sediment  flow  from  the  NW  presented  by  the   and  that  the  remainder  of  the  roughly  100 km  offset  required
            Investigator Fracture  Zone,  rather  than  directly  to  its presence  as   by  stretching  in  the  Sunda  Strait  might  have  been  accommo-



























                                                                                    Fig. 2.5. GPS vectors and the Great Earthquake of June
                                                                                    2000. The upper diagram shows overall movement
                                                                                    vectors relative to SE Asia and their trench-parallel and
               Trench-orthogonal   motion          Trench-parallel  motion          trench-orthogonal resolved components. The lower
                                                                                    diagrams compare these components individually.
                                                        1   2                       Vector 1 is the regional convergence vector, after
                                                                                    Demets et al.  (1990). The remaining vectors are GPS
                                                                                    vectors from the 1991-1993 campaign at sites at the
                                                                                    bases of the arrows, after Prawirodirdjo et al.  (1997).
                                                                                    'Beachballs' show the locations of the two subevents
                                                                                    proposed by Abercrombie  et al. (2002) for the June 2000
                                                                                    earthquake.
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