Page 46 - The Petroleum System From Source to Trap
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38     Smith


                                     CASCADE                 hydrocarbons  moving  updip from the area  containing
                                  COLD DUCK  �  +            mature  source  rocks  in  the basin  fill  sequence.  Such
                                         �Y-0398 #1
                 t       WEST  COLD DUCK� \._j               hydrocarbons would be expected to migrate updip in the
                 N                                           first  sandstone  above  economic  basement.  According  to
                 •                                           Desautels  (1988),  these  wells  lacked  oil  shows.  This
                            �-0407111                        agreement  with  Shell's  interpretation  that  there  was  a
                      YELLOW PUP                             absence of oil shows along expected migration paths is in

                                                             low probability of finding conunercial oil reserves in the
                                                             prospects adjacent to the Stuart subbasin.

                                                             Part II:  The Petroleum System of the Stuart
                                                             Subbasin
                                                               After Shell concluded  that the probability  of  finding
                                                             commercial  oil  reserves  anywhere  in  the  Norton basin
                                                             was  very  small,  little effort was  devoted  to  a  rigorous
                                                            evaluation of the  migration  and trapping characteristics
                                                             for  prospects  in  or adjacent  to  the  different  subbasins.
                                         CHUGACH
             D  SOURCE AREA FOR GAS                          Therefore,  Shell's  presale  evaluation is  an  incomplete
             D  PROSPECT                                     example  of  the use  of  the petroleum system logic  as a
                                                             tool in frontier exploration. However, the geology in and
                     l O  K  M
                    6.2 MILES                                around  the Stuart subbasin and  the exploration effort
                                                             expended on it (including the five wells drilled by Exxon
                                                             and  Elf in  partnership  or  alone)  combine  to  make  the
           Figure 2.19. Locations of five exploratory wells, COST -2   Stuart  subbasin  area  an excellent  place  to illustrate  the
           well, two seismic lines (Figures 2.22 and 2.25), prospects,   application of petroleum system logic in a frontier area.
           and the area of gas-expelling source rock in the Stuart   For  this  illustration,  a  quantitative  evaluation  was
           subbasin area.                                    completed  using  only  data  available  at sale  time.  This
                                                             evaluation included the following items:

                                                               1.  Source rock units and maturity levels were quanti­
                                                                 tatively described.
                                                               2.  Migration paths and expected reservoirs for gas
                                                                 accumulations were identified.
                                                               3.  Volumes of gas expelled into the prospect fetch
                                                                 areas were estimated.
                                                               4.  Losses along the migration path to the predicted
                                                                 accumulation positions were estimated for each
                                                                 prospect.
                                                               5.  Volumes available for accumulation on each
                                                                 prospect were estimated.
                                                               6.  These volumes were assigned to specific accumula­
                                                                 tions using the COST-2 well stratigraphy and
                                                                 structure at selected levels derived from reflection
                                                                 seismic data.
           CONTOIJ'IS  IN M  FT
           - STRUCTURE  AT  BLUE  LEVEL                        In addition to these items, which constitute a complete
           - BASEMENT  ONLAP                                 hypothetical presale evaluation,  we  conclude  with a
           --- BASEIIENT  STRUCTURE
            ...  COST  2                                     comparison of the  drilling  results  to  the predictions.  To
            -<>- 407 - TEST  IN OCS-Y -407   t               make this comparison, the predictions were modified as
           POSSIBLE  GAS ACCUMULATIONS:   N
            !iiiD AT BLUE LEVEL                              required by data on reservoir rock and seal rock distribu­
            0  S  HALLOW       �     CH.IGACH                tion acquired from the exploratory wells.
                                                               General Characteristics of the Petroleum System
           Figure 2.20. Structure map at the blue level in the Stuart   in the Stuart Subbasin
           subbasin showing locations of possible gas accumula­  Figure 2.19 is a map view of the Stuart subbasin area
           tions and wells.                                  showing the locations of the six prospects adjacent to the
                                                             subbasin, the wells that have been drilled, the area from
                                                             which  gas  has been  inferred  to  have migrated,  and  two
                                                             seismic lines that will be used to illustrate structural rela-
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