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392   CHAPTER 9 PROJECT SCHEDULING: PERT/CPM





                      Summary
                      In this chapter we have introduced techniques for managing projects:

                      l Developing a project network diagram is an effective way of planning and managing complex
                         projects.
                      l The diagram is used to show the sequencing and inter-connection between the various project
                         activities.
                      l By calculating start and finish times we can determine the critical path for the project showing the
                         minimum completion time. The diagram also identifies activities where there is slack time.
                      l We can incorporate uncertain or variable activity times and calculate the probability that the project is
                         completed by a certain time.
                      l We can also undertake crashing to assess the cost and feasibility of reducing the project
                         completion time.







                      WORKED EXAMPLE


                          he Kellerwirt Gasthaus in Austria is a small, family-run hotel catering for tourists. The hotel is planning to
                      T replace its small swimming pool with a heated outdoor pool. However, it is critical that the project is
                      completed in time for the start of the coming summer season, otherwise the hotel risks upsetting guests
                      expecting to use the new facilities and also risks construction work causing noise and disruption. The summer
                      season starts in nine weeks’ time. The local company contracted to build the pool have provided the following
                      information and also indicated that they work five days each week.

                                                                    Likely   Best case   Worst case
                                                       Preceding   duration  duration     duration
                            Activity                   activities   (days)    (days)       (days)
                            A Remove existing pool         -          5          3           6
                            B Transport rubble off site    A          4          2           6
                            C Excavate new site            B          6          5           7
                            D Install new pool             C          9          7           10
                            E Install solar heating system  C         4          2           6
                            F Test pool for heating and   D, E        2          1           3
                               leakage
                            G Construction and tiling around  D       8          5           10
                               pool area
                            H Plant shrubbery around pool  G          8          6           10
                            I Final clean up              F, H        4          3           5

                         What advice can we give the hotel?
                          First we can calculate the Expected duration times and the variances:










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