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508   CHAPTER 12 SIMULATION


                            Figure 12.7 Excel Worksheet for the Butler Inventory Problem












                EXCEL file

                    BUTLER


































                                     would like to consider additional simulation runs with replenishment levels of Q ¼ 115
                                     and Q ¼ 125 to search for an even better inventory policy. Also, we have no guarantee
                                     that with another set of 300 randomly generated demand values that the replenishment
                                     level with the highest profit would not change. However, with a large number of
                                     simulation trials, we should find a good and, at least, near optimal solution. The
                                     Management Science in Action, Petroleum Distribution in the Gulf of Mexico, describes
                                     a simulation application for 15 petroleum companies in the state of Florida.



                                      Table 12.9 Butler Inventory Simulation Results for 300 Trials
                                      Replenishment Level       Average Net Profit (E)      Service Level (%)

                                      100                               4 293                    92.5
                                      110                               4 524                    96.5
                                      120                               4 575                    98.6
                                      130                               4 519                    99.6
                                      140                               4 399                    99.9




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