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QUEUING SIMULATION  511


                                      where
                                                            r ¼ random number between 0 and 1
                                                            a ¼ minimum interarrival time
                                                           b ¼ maximum interarrival time
                      A uniform probability  For the HKSB ATM system, the minimum interarrival time is a ¼ zero minutes, and
                      distribution of interarrival  the maximum interarrival time is b ¼ five minutes; therefore, the formula for gen-
                      times is used here to  erating an interarrival time is:
                      illustrate the simulation
                      computations. Actually,
                      any interarrival time
                      probability distribution               Interarrival time ¼ 0 þ rð5   0Þ¼ 5r      (12:8)
                      can be assumed, and the
                      logic of the waiting line
                      simulation model will not  Assume that the simulation run begins at time ¼ 0 and the first random number of
                      change.         r ¼ 0.2804 generates an interarrival time of 5(0.2804) ¼ 1.4 minutes for customer 1.
                                      Thus, customer 1 arrives 1.4 minutes after the simulation run begins. A second
                                      random number of r ¼ 0.2598 generates an interarrival time of 5(0.2598) ¼ 1.3
                                      minutes, indicating that customer 2 arrives 1.3 minutes after customer 1. Thus,
                                      customer 2 arrives 1.4 þ 1.3 ¼ 2.7 minutes after the simulation begins. Continuing,
                                      a third random number of r ¼ 0.9802 indicates that customer 3 arrives 4.9 minutes
                                      after customer 2, which is 7.6 minutes after the simulation begins.


                                      Customer Service Times
                                      Another probabilistic input in the ATM simulation model is the service time, which is
                                      the time a customer spends using the ATM machine. Past data from similar ATMs
                                      indicate that a normal probability distribution with a mean of two minutes and a
                                      standard deviation of 0.5 minutes, as shown in Figure 12.9, can be used to describe
                                      service times. As discussed in Sections 12.1 and 12.2, values from a normal probability
                                      distribution with mean 2 and standard deviation 0.5 can be generated using the Excel
                                      function ¼ NORMINV(RAND(),2,0.5). For example, the random number of 0.7257
                                      generates a customer service time of 2.3 minutes.
                                      Simulation Model

                                      The probabilistic inputs to the ATM simulation model are the interarrival time and
                                      the service time. The controllable input is the number of ATMs available. The key
                                      results will consist of various operating characteristics such as the probability of
                                      waiting, the average waiting time, the maximum waiting time and so on.


                                      Figure 12.9  Normal Probability Distribution of Service Times for the ATM Queuing
                                      System






                                                                                 Standard Deviation
                                                                                       0.5 Minutes







                                                                          2
                                                                Service Time in Minutes



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