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516   CHAPTER 12 SIMULATION


                                     Figure 12.12 Histogram Showing the Waiting Time for 900 ATM Customers

                                                            507 customers (56.33%)
                                                 500        had a waiting time of
                                                            one minute or less.
                                                 400         393 customers (43.67%)
                                                             had a waiting time
                                                Frequency  300
                                                             greater than one minute.


                                                 200

                                                 100                             45 customers (5%)
                                                                                 had a waiting time
                                                                                 greater than six minutes.
                                                    0   1   2   3   4   5  6   7
                                                                Waiting Time in Minutes



                                     simulation studies of dynamic systems focus on the operation of the system during
                                     its long-run or steady-state operation. To ensure that the effect of start-up condi-
                                     tions are not included in the steady-state calculations, a dynamic simulation model is
                                     usually run for a specified period without collecting any data about the operation of
                                     the system. The length of the start-up period can vary depending on the application.
                                     For the ATM simulation, we treated the results for the first 100 customers as the
                                     start-up period. Thus, the summary statistics shown in Figure 12.11 are for the 900
                                     customers arriving during the steady-state period.
                                       The summary statistics show that 549 of the 900 ATM customers had to wait. This
                                     result provides a 549/900 ¼ 0.61 probability that a customer will have to wait for
                                     service. In other words, approximately 61 per cent of the customers will have to wait
                                     because the ATM is in use. The average waiting time is 1.59 minutes per customer with
                                     at least one customer waiting the maximum time of 12.5 minutes. The utilization rate of
                                     0.7860 indicates that the ATM is in use 78.6 per cent of the time. Finally, 393 of the 900
                                     customers had to wait more than 1 minute (43.67 per cent of all customers). A histo-
                                     gram of waiting times for the 900 customers is shown in Figure 12.12. This figure shows
                                     that 45 customers (5 per cent) had a waiting time greater than 6 minutes.
                                       The simulation supports the conclusion that the branch will have a busy ATM
                                     system. With an average customer wait time of 1.59 minutes, the branch does not
                                     satisfy the bank’s customer service guideline. This branch is a good candidate for
                                     installation of a second ATM.

                                     Simulation with Two ATMs
                                     We extended the simulation model to the case of two ATMs. For the second ATM
                                     we also assume that the service time is normally distributed with a mean of two
                                     minutes and a standard deviation of 0.5 minutes. Table 12.11 shows the simulation
                                     results for the first ten customers. In comparing the two-ATM system results in
                                     Table 12.11 with the single ATM simulation results shown in Table 12.10, we see
                                     that two additional columns are needed. These two columns show when each ATM
                                     becomes available for customer service. We assume that, when a new customer
                                     arrives, the customer will be served by the ATM that frees up first. When the
                                     simulation begins, the first customer is assigned to ATM 1.






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