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120      4 Parametric Tests of Hypotheses


              H 0:  µ  ≤ µ A =1100.
              H 1:  µ  > µ A.

              Figure 4.8 illustrates this one-sided, single  mean test.  The manufacturer is
           interested in a high power. In other words, he is interested that when H 1 is true (his
           belief) the probability of wrongly deciding H 0 (against his belief) is very low. In
           the case of the drills, for a sample size n = 24 and α = 0.05, the power is 90% for
           the alternative  µ = x , as illustrated in Figure 4.8. A  power above  80% is often
           considered adequate to detect a reasonable departure from the null hypothesis.
              On the other hand, society is interested in a low Type I Error, i.e., it is interested
           in a low probability of wrongly accepting the claim of the manufacturer when it is
           false. As we can see from Figure 4.8, there is again a trade-off between a low α
           and a low β. A very low α could have as consequence the inability to detect a new
           useful manufacturing method based on samples of reasonable size. There is a wide
           consensus that α = 0.05 is an adequate value for most situations. When the sample
           sizes are very large (say, above 100 for most tests), trivial departures from H 0 may
           be detectable with high power. In such cases, one can consider lowering the value
           of α (say, α  = 0.01).


                                      H 0         H 1







                                     β = 0.10
                                                α=0.05
                                                                   x
                                      1100   1190  1260
           Figure 4.8. One-sided, single mean RS test for the drill example, with α = 0.05
           and n = 24. The hatched area is the critical region.


           2. The accept-support (AS) data analysis situation

           In this situation, the data analyst states H 0 as his belief, i.e., he seeks to accept H 0.
           In the drill example, the manufacturer of the new type of drills could formalise the
           test in an AS fashion if his claim is that the new brand is at least better than brand
           B:

              H 0:  µ  ≥ µ B =1300.
              H 1:  µ  < µ B.
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