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148  Chapter 4 Data-driven reduction of cardiac models




                                         methods are tested: partial least squares regression (PLSR), MARS,
                                         and PPR. The number of components option is set equal to the
                                         number of model inputs p in PLSR. For MARS, the maximum in-
                                         teraction degree is set to 2, and the maximum number of model
                                         terms to 80. For PPR, the number of terms in the model is set to
                                         10, and the optimization level is set to re-balance the contribu-
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                                         tions from each regressor at each step. The computed R values
                                         for the outputs estimated by all methods are reported in Fig. 4.18
                                         and Fig. 4.19. Despite its popularity, PLSR produces a model that
                                         can only accurately predict V peak , but fails at estimating V rest .Pre-
                                         vious work by Sobie [360] reported better PLSR performance for
                                         the definition of a model of ventricular electrical activity. How-
                                         ever, Fig. 4.18 demonstrates the non-linear complexity of the CRN
                                         atrial model. This result is consistent with the sample patterns in
                                         Fig. 4.15 and the mode variations represented by PCA. We also
                                         find that MARS can accurately predict V peak and V rest , but returns
                                         worse results in APD prediction. PPR performs best in this test,
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                                         with all the R values being above 0.97.




















                                         Figure 4.18. Regression on V peak and V rest : PLSR (1st column), MARS
                                         (2nd column), PPR (3rd column).

                                            We also study the generalization capability of the PPR model,
                                         by evaluating the accuracy of the model predictions for samples
                                         of the input model parameters outside the distribution used to
                                         generate the training set. In Fig. 4.20,the x-axis represents the
                                         standard deviation of the distribution used to sample the input
                                         parameters for generating testing data. The y-axis shows the com-
                                                                                               2
                                                 2
                                         puted R value for the model outputs. In this experiment, R val-
                                         ues decrease with increasing SD, but remain higher than 0.9 for
                                         SD smaller than 0.4. For SD=0.5, the predictor has notably worse
                                         performance. This suggests that the model has a modest general-
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