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324     PART V • Historical and Future Climate Change


                                                                                FIGURE 17-21 North Atlantic
                                                                                Oscillation (NAO) During positive
                                                                                NAO years, the western subtropical
                                           L                                    North Atlantic Ocean is warm, and
                                                                                strong winds (upper yellow arrow)
                                                                                blow this warmth and moisture into
                                                                                north-central Europe. NAO
                                                                                conditions (positive or negative)
                                            H                                   can persist for many years.
                                                                                (Adapted from J. W. Hurrell et al., “An
                                                                                Overview of the North Atlantic
                                    Dust
                                                                                Oscillation,” in The North Atlantic
         A                                                                      Oscillation; Climate Significance and
                                                                                Environmental Impact, ed. J. W. Hurrell
                                                                                et al., Geophysical Monograph Series 134
                                                                                [2003]: 1–35.)
           3

           2

          NAO index  1

           0


           –1

           –2
                    1850              1900              1950
        B                               Year



         6. How does warming of the ocean affect sea level?  Advanced Reading
                                                            Chung, C. E., V. Ramanathan, and J. T. Kiehl. 2003.
         7. How do the North Atlantic Oscillation and Pacific
            Decadal Oscillation (NAO and PDO) complicate      “Effects of the South Asian Absorbing Haze on the
            efforts to detect global warming?                 Northeast Monsoon and Surface-Air Heat
                                                              Exchange.” Journal of Climate 15: 2462–76.
                                                            Huang, S. H., N. Pollack, and P.-Y. Shen. 2000.
          Additional Resources                                “Temperature Trends over the Past Five Centuries
                                                              Reconstructed from Borehole Temperature.” Nature
        Basic Reading                                         403: 756–8.
        www.igbp.net (International Geosphere-Biosphere     Hurrell, J. W. 1995. “Decadal Trends in the North
           Program)                                           Atlantic Oscillation: Regional Temperatures and
        http://wcrp.wmo.int/ (World Climate Research          Precipitation.” Science 269: 676–9.
           Program)                                         Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2007.
        www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/globalwarming.html       “Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis.”
           (National Climate Data Center)                     [Geneva: World Meterological Association, 2007].
        www.ipcc.ch (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate     Levitus, S., J. I. Antonov, T. B. Boyer, and C. Stevens.
           Change)                                            2000. “Warming of the World Ocean.” Science 287:
        www.pages-igbp.org (Past Global Changes Project)      22285–93.
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