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                                                                                   11.12 Annual Rainfall and Runoff  379


                                         Solution:
                                         To plot the data, use the following information: The length of each record is n   26 years; there-
                                          fore, each year of record spans 100>26   3.85% of the experience. However, the arrays are plotted
                                         on probability paper in Fig. 11.6 at 100 k/(n 	 1)   (100 k/27)% in order to locate identical points
                                         for the left-hand and right-hand probability scales. The resulting plotting observations are shown in
                                         Table 11.5.

                                         Table 11.5  Calculation of Arithmetic Parameters of Annual Rainfall Frequency for Example 11.3

                                                     Magnitude of       Plotting       Deviation from
                                                     Observation       Position %      Mean (x   m)       (x -  m) 2
                                                         (1)              (2)              (3)              (4)

                                                         38.9              3.7             - 7.9           62.41
                                                         40.2              7.4             - 6.6           43.56
                                                         40.6             11.1             - 6.2           38.44
                                                         41.3             14.8             - 5.5           30.25
                                                         41.8             18.5             - 5.0           25.00
                                                         41.8             22.2             - 5.0           25.00
                                                         42.5             25.9             - 4.3           18.49
                                                         43.3             29.6             - 3.5           12.25
                                                         43.6             33.3             - 3.2           10.24
                                                         45.3             37.0             - 1.5            2.25
                                                         45.5             40.7             - 1.3            1.69
                                                         45.7             44.5             - 1.1            1.21
                                                         46.1             48.2             - 0.7            0.49
                                                         46.6             51.9             - 0.2            0.04
                                                         46.6             55.5             - 0.2            0.04
                                                         47.0             59.3             + 0.2            0.04
                                                         47.1             63.0             + 0.3            0.09
                                                         48.0             66.7             + 1.2            1.44
                                                         48.0             70.4             + 1.2            1.44
                                                         48.7             74.1             + 1.9            3.61
                                                         48.9             77.8             + 2.1            4.41
                                                         49.4             81.5             + 2.6            6.76
                                                         51.0             85.2             + 4.2           17.64
                                                         53.8             88.9             - 7.0           49.00
                                                         59.8             92.6            + 13.0           169.00
                                                         66.3             96.3            + 19.5           380.25
                                         Sum,          1218.8           n = 26               0.0           916.04
                                                                                                         2
                                                                                                      2
                                         Mean, m = 46.8                                  (Standard deviation) , s =  33.93
                                         Median by interpolation or from plot, 46.3                     s =  5.8
                                         Coefficient of variation,                                      c v =  12.4%

                                             Necessary calculations are exemplified in Table 11.5 for rainfall and arithmetic normality
                                         alone. Calculations for runoff and arithmetic normality would substitute the array of runoff values
                                         for that of rainfall values; and assumption of geometric normality would require substitution of the
                                         logarithm of the observations for the observations themselves. The calculated statistical parameters
                                         can be summarized as shown in Table 11.6.
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