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374     8 Bayesian statistics and parameter estimation



                   c A and c B are the concentrations of the two reactants in M, r R1 is the reaction rate per
                                                                                     −1
                   unit volume in M/s, and k 1 (T) is a temperature-dependent rate constant in (Ms) .We
                   determine the value of k 1 (T) by studying the behavior of well-characterized reactors such as
                   a perfectly-mixed CSTR or a batch reactor (a well-mixed vessel with no inflow or outflow).


                   Fitting the rate law to steady-state measurements of a CSTR

                   For a CSTR, we measure k 1 (T) by operating the reactor at steady state at constant volume
                                                                        (in)
                   V, constant volumetric flow rate υ, constant inlet concentrations c  , and measuring the
                                                                        j
                   outlet concentrations c j . We obtain a measurement of the rate though the balance on C,
                                dc C          (in)                 υ       (in)
                                    = 0 = υ c C  − c C + Vr R1 ⇒ r R1 =  c C − c C     (8.4)
                                dt                                 V
                   Measurements of c A and c B are necessary to determine k 1 (T) from (8.3). For each CSTR
                   experiment, the set of predictor variables is x = [c A c B ]. The parameter that we wish to
                   estimate is θ = [k 1 ]. The response variable is y (r)  = [r R1 ].
                     In these equations, we have assumed that the reaction is elementary. To relax this assump-
                                                     v a v b
                   tion, we fit the data to the rate law r R1 = k 1 c c , in which case the model parameter vector
                                                     A B
                                    T
                   is now θ = [k 1 v a v b ] .
                     Alternatively, if we wish to study the temperature dependence of the rate constant, we
                   repeat the experiments at different temperatures. The predictor vector is now x = [c A c B T ].
                   Assuming an Arrenhius form of the rate law, k 1 (T ) = A 1 exp[−E 1 /RT ], the vector of
                                                 T
                   model parameters is θ = [v a v b A 1 E 1 ] . In each case above, we have single-response data,
                   with a nonlinear analytical model relating the predictors to the response.


                   Fitting the rate law to initial rate measurements in a batch reactor

                   We can also study the kinetics of the reaction in a batch reactor. We charge the reactor with
                   known initial concentrations c A (0) and c B (0), and measure the concentrations of the species
                   as functions of time, governed by the initial value problem:
                           dc A          dc B           dc C                ν a ν b
                               =−r R1        =−r R1        = r R1   r R1 = k 1 c c
                                                                            A B
                            dt            dt            dt
                                                                                       (8.5)
                             c A (t = 0) = c A (0)  c B (t = 0) = c B (0)  c C (t = 0) = 0
                   For each run, we keep the temperature constant at T. From the slope of c C (t)at t = 0, we
                   obtain the initial reaction rate:

                                      dc C
                                                               ν a
                                             = r R1 = k 1 (T )[c A (0)] [c B (0)] ν b  (8.6)
                                       dt
                                          t=0
                   Let us say that the results of these experiments are those in Table 8.1. Now, the predictor
                   variables are x = [c A (0) c B (0)] and we have a single response, y = r R1 . The set of model
                                            T
                   parameters is θ = [k 1 (T ) v a v b ] . Again, we have single-response data and an analytical,
                   nonlinear model relating the predictors to the response.
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