Page 112 - Statistics for Dummies
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96
                                         Part II: Number-Crunching Basics
                                                    younger. For example the 65–69 age group decreases from 30% in 2010 to a
                                                    projected 25% in 2050; while the 85-and-over age group increases from 14%
                                                    in 2010 to 19% projected for 2050.
                                                                     Age of U.S. 65-and-Over Population
                                                                                       2050 projection
                                                                 2010
                                                            14.0%
                                                                                   19.0%
                                                                                                  25.0%
                                                                          30.0%
                                                                                                            65–69
                                           Figure 6-4:
                                                                                                            70–74
                                                      15.0%
                                          Side-by-side
                                                                                                            75–79
                                                                              17.0%
                                           pie charts
                                                                                                            80–84
                                          on the aging
                                                                                                            85 and over
                                             popula-  are smaller for the 2050 projections (compared to 2010) as the age groups get
                                            tion, 2010   18.0%                                     20.0%
                                          versus 2050                23.0%            19.0%
                                           projections.

                                                    The results from Figure 6-4 indicate a shift in the ages of the population
                                                    toward the older categories. From there, the medical and social research
                                                    communities can examine the ramifications of this trend in terms of health-
                                                    care, assisted living, social security, and so on.
                                                    The operative words here are if the trend continues. As you know, many vari-
                                                    ables affect population size, and you need to take those into account when
                                                    interpreting these projections into the future. The U.S. government always
                                                    points out caveats like this in their reports; it is very diligent about that.
                                                    The pie charts in Figure 6-4 work well for comparing groups because they are
                                                    side-by-side on the same graph, using the same coding for the age groups in
                                                    each, and their slices are in the same order for both as you move clockwise
                                                    around the graphs. They aren’t all scrambled up on each graph so you have
                                                    to hunt for a certain age group on each graph separately.








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