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L1592_Frame_C15  Page 136  Tuesday, December 18, 2001  1:50 PM









                           The  value of the adjustment  factor λ =  0.20392   is found by interpolating  Table 15.4.  The
                                                       ˆ
                           estimates of the mean and variance are:


                                                                  (
                                        η ˆ =  y λ y –(–  ˆ  y c ) =  7.9 0.20392 7.9 6.0) =  7.51 µg/L
                                                                     –
                                                          –
                                                 (
                                        σ ˆ =  s +  λ y –  y c ) =  1.1078 +  0.20392 7.9 6.0) =  1.844
                                                                      (
                                                      2
                                         2
                                             2
                                                ˆ
                                                                             2
                                                                         –
                                        σ ˆ =  1.36 µg L
                                  η ˆ
                       The estimates   and σ ˆ  2  cannot be used to compute confidence intervals in the usual way because both
                       are affected by censoring. This means that these two statistics are not estimated independently (as they
                       would be without censoring). Cohen (1961) provides formulas to correct for this dependency and explains
                       how to compute confidence intervals.
                        The method described above can be used to analyze lognormally distributed data if the sample can
                       be transformed to make it normal. The calculations are done on the transformed values. That is, if y is
                       distributed lognormally, then x = ln y()  has a normal distribution. The computations are the same as
                       illustrated above, except that they are done on the log-transformed values instead of on the original
                       measured values.
                       Example 15.5


                           Use Cohen’s method to estimate the mean and variance of a censored sample of n = 30 that is
                           lognormally distributed. The 30 individual values (y 1 , y 2 ,…,y 30 ) are not given, but assume that a
                           logarithmic transformation,  x  = ln y() , will make the distribution normal with mean  η x   and
                                    2
                           variance σ x  .
                              Of the 30 measurements, 12 are censored at a limit of 18 µg/L, so the fraction censored is
                           h = 12/30 = 0.40. The mean and variance computed from the logarithms of the noncensored
                           values are:


                                                x =  3.2722  and   s x =  0.03904
                                                                   2

                           The limit of censoring is also transformed:

                                                        ()
                                                               (
                                                   x c =  ln y c =  ln 18) =  2.8904
                           Using these values, we compute:


                                                             (
                                              (
                                         γ =  s x / x –  x c ) =  0.03904/ 3.2722 2.8904) =  0.2678.
                                                                          2
                                             2
                                                    2
                                                                   –
                                                           λ
                                                           ˆ
                           which is used with  h  = 0.4 to interpolate   = 0.664 in Table 15.4. The estimated mean and
                           variance of the log-transformed values are:
                                                           (
                                           η ˆ x =  3.2722 0.664 3.2722 2.8904) =  3.0187
                                                                 –
                                                     –
                                                            (
                                                                         2
                                             2  0.03904 +  0.664 3.2722 2.8904) =
                                           σ ˆ x =                –         0.1358
                       © 2002 By CRC Press LLC
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