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L1592_frame_C35  Page 316  Tuesday, December 18, 2001  2:52 PM










                                         1 day  2 days  3 days  5 days  7 days  12 days  20 days
                                          0.40  0.99   0.95   1.53   1.25   2.12   2.42
                                          0.55  0.95   1.00   1.77   1.35   2.21   2.28
                                          0.61  0.98   1.05   1.75   1.90   2.34   1.96
                                          0.66  0.95   1.20   1.95   1.95   1.95   1.92
                        35.2 BOD Experimental Design I. (a) Fit the BOD model y = θ 1 [1 − exp (−θ 2 t )] to the data for
                             days 1, 2, 3, and 5 in Exercise 35.1. (b) Plot the data and the  fitted model. (c) Plot the
                             approximate 95% joint confidence region. (d) Select three pairs of parameter values from
                             within the joint confidence region and plot the curves obtained by using them in the model.
                        35.3 BOD Experimental Design II. Fit the BOD model to the first two rows of data (two replicates)
                             for days 3, 5, 7, 12, and 20, plot the joint confidence region, and compare the result with the
                             confidence region obtained in Exercise 35.1 or 35.2. Discuss how changing the experimental
                             design has affected the size and shape of the confidence region.
                        35.4 Monod Model. Fit the Monod model y i  = θ 1 x i /(θ 2  + x i ) + e i  to the following data and plot the
                             joint confidence region of the parameters.

                                Substrate   5.1   20.3   37     74.5   96.5   112    266     386
                                Growth Rate  0.059  0.177  0.302  0.485  0.546  0.610  0.792  0.852

                        35.5 Haldane Model. Fit the Monod model y i  = θ 1 x i  (θ 2  + x i ) + e i  and the Haldane model y i =
                                θ 1 x i
                             ----------------------------------   + e i  to the following data. y is the growth rate; x is substrate (phenol) concen-
                                   2
                             x i +  θ 2 +  x i /θ 3
                             tration. Which model provides the better fit? Support your conclusions with plots of the data,
                             the residuals, and the joint confidence regions.
                                 x    10     25    30    100    450    550    760    870    950
                                 y   0.04   0.085  0.15  0.18   0.15   0.12   0.09   0.11   0.09


                        35.6 Model Building. You have been asked to identify a biological growth model that  fits the
                             following data. Fit some candidate models and discuss the difficulties you encounter.


                                        Substrate Conc.  28    55     83     110    138
                                        Growth Rate    0.053  0.060  0.112  0.105   0.090


                        35.7 Reactions in Series. Reactant A decomposes to form Product B, which in turn decomposes
                             to form Product C. That is A → B → C. Both reactions are first order with respect to the
                             reactant. The model for the concentration of B is:

                                                η B =  ----------------C A exp[  – (  θ 1 t) –  exp  – (  θ 2 t)]
                                                       θ 1
                                                       –
                                                     θ 2 θ 1
                             where θ 1  is the reaction rate coefficient for the transformation of A to B and θ 2  is the reaction
                             rate coefficient for the transformation of B to C. Three experiments have been done, each
                             with initial conditions C A  = 1, C B  = 0, and C C  = 0 at t = 0.

                                                                 Concentration of B
                                           Time (min)     Exp 1       Exp 2      Exp 3
                                              0.65         0.010       —          0.010
                                              1.25         0.022       —          0.022
                                              2.5          0.08        —          0.08
                                              5.0          0.15        —          0.15



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