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238      6 Statistical Classification


                                  ω 1  0 €   Special Bottles

                                            0.015 €
                                            0.010 €
                                  ω 2        Normal Bottles
                                       0 €
           Figure 6.11. Loss diagram for two classes of cork stoppers. Correct decisions have
           zero loss.


              Denote:

            SB – Action of using a cork stopper in special bottles.
            NB – Action of using a cork stopper in normal bottles.
            ω 1=S  (class super); ω  2=A (class average)

              Define:  λ = λ (α i  |ω j ) as the  loss associated with an action  α when the
                      ij
                                                                      i
           correct class is ω j. In the present case, α i  ∈ {SB,  NB }.
              We can arrange the λ ij in a loss matrix Λ, which in the present case is:


                   0    . 0  015 
              Λ =            .                                           6.19
                    . 0  01  0  

              Therefore, the  risk (expected  value  of the loss)  associated  with the action  of
           using a cork, characterised by feature vector x, in special bottles, can be expressed
           as:

                                                            ×
              R (   x |  )SB  = λ (SB  ( | S  x | S  ) )P  + λ (NB  | M  )P ( |A  ) x =  . 0  015 P ( |A  ) x ;  6.20a

              And likewise for normal bottles:

                                                           ×
              R (   x |  )NB  = λ (NB  ( | S  x | S  ) )P  + λ (NB  | A )P ( |A  ) x =  . 0  01 P ( |S  ) x ;  6.20b

              We are assuming that in the risk evaluation, the only influence is from wrong
           decisions. Therefore, correct decisions have zero loss, λ ii  = 0, as in 6.19. If instead
           of two classes, we have c classes, the risk associated with a certain action α i is
           expressed as follows:

                        c
              R(α i  |  ) x  =  ∑ (αλ  i  |ω j  ) P(ω j  |  ) x .          6.21
                        = j 1

              We are obviously interested in minimising an average  risk computed for an
           arbitrarily large number  of  cork stoppers. The  Bayes rule for  minimum  risk
           achieves this through the minimisation of the individual conditional risks R(α i | x).
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