Page 367 - Earth's Climate Past and Future
P. 367

CHAPTER 19





                                      Future Climatic



                                      Change








                                      The climatic effects of rising CO levels will become increasingly significant
                                                                   2
                                      in the future. Consumption of estimated reserves of fossil fuels (mainly coal) in
                                      the next two or three centuries will add far more CO to the atmosphere than
                                                                                  2
                                      has accumulated so far, unless technology or extreme conservation efforts
                                      reduce this influx. Atmospheric CO concentrations will increase to levels at
                                                                    2
                                      least twice and possibly four or more times those that have existed during all
                                      of human existence. Concentrations will be comparable to levels last seen
                                      millions to tens of millions of years ago when a much warmer greenhouse world
                                      existed. This warming will completely overwhelm natural variations in climate
                                      and cause changes unprecedented in human experience. Atmospheric CO
                                                                                                      2
                                      levels will eventually decrease as the ocean slowly absorbs much of the excess
                                      carbon, but concentrations will still remain well above natural values for thou-
                                      sands of years into the future.
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