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5.3 Autospectral Analysis                                        91

           Such trends are common features in earth sciences. As an example, consider
           the glacial-interglacial cycles observed in marine oxygen isotope records
           overlain by a long-term cooling trend during the last six million years.

             yt = y + 0.005 * t;
             plot(t,y,'b-',t,yt,'r-'), axis([0 200 -4 4])
           In reality, more complex trends exist, such as higher-order trends or trends
           characterized by changing slopes. In practice, it is recommended to elimi-

           nate such a trend by fitting polynomials to the data and to subtract the the
           corresponding values. This synthetic time series now contains many charac-
           teristics of a typical data set in the earth sciences. It can be used to illustrate
           the use of spectral analysis tools that are introduced in the next chapter.



           5.3 Autospectral Analysis

           Autospectral analysis aims to describe the distribution of variance contained
           in one single signal x(t) over frequency or wavelength. A simple way to
           describe the variance in a signal over a time lag k is the autocovariance. An
           unbiased estimator of the autocovariance cov  of the signal x(t) with N data
                                                   xx
           points sampled at constant time intervals ¨t is






           The autocovariance series clearly depends on the amplitude of  x(t).
                                                     2
           Normalizing the covariance by the variance σ  of x(t) yields the autocor-
           relation sequence. Autocorrelation involves correlating a series of data with
           itself, depending on a time lag k.






           The most popular method to compute power spectra in earth sciences is the
           method introduced by Blackman and Tukey (1958). The Blackman-Tukey
           method estimates the  power-spectral density by calculating the complex
           Fourier transform X(f) of the autocorrelation sequence corr (k).
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