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Uncertainty  Assessment                   161


























         Figure 8.10.  Maps of BMEmean estimates of water-level elevations (in feet)  in
               the  Equus Beds aquifer for  the  years  1975  and 1998. Observation wells
               for  which  hard,  interval  soft,  and  probabilistic  soft  data  were available
               in space/time  are depicted  by triangles,  circles, and stars,  respectively.
























         Figure  8.11.  Maps  of  standard  deviation  error  of  the  BMEmean  estimates
               shown  in  Figure 8.10.


         points and five  soft  data  points  most  highly  correlated to  the  estimation  point
        were selected).  The  BMEmean  maps of water-level elevation  (Fig. 8.10) show
        that,  while  the  water  level  stayed  unchanged  at  higher  ground  elevations,  it
        dropped  substantially  in  the  valley  along  the  Little  Arkansas  River  (see  also
         Fig.  8.12).  Estimation  uncertainty  for  the  BME  map  is  assessed  from  the
         associated estimation error standard deviation  map (Fig. 8.11).  The  estimation
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