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Moore’s Law 371



           26 nm gates have been made, too. The process used SOI  limits. In a circuit with 1 000 000 000 devices, tails
           wafers with 6 nm ±2 nm thick device silicon layer, and  of statistical distributions can easily cause circuits to
           150 nm buried oxide. Gate oxide EOT was 1.2 nm. The  fail: there are 20 devices that have variations larger
           gate was defined by optical lithography at λ = 248 nm,  than six standard deviations. In very small volumes,
           using resist trimming technique, similar to the one  distribution of atoms becomes a source of variation: in
           described in Figure 10.8.                   a 100 nm linewidth MOS transistor, the volume under
                                                       the gate is ca. 100 nm × 500 nm × 10 nm (L eff × W eff ×
                                                       inversion layer thickness), and the channel-doping level
           38.5.3 Statistics and yield                          18  3
                                                       is N A ≈ 10 / cm , which translates to ca. 500 dopant
                                                       atoms only. The small number of dopants in itself leads
           Yield is tied to the number of process steps, which have
                                                       to detectable fluctuations in the threshold voltage, but
           been increasing constantly. With 25 lithography steps,
                                                       the random positions of dopant atoms also must be
           and ca. 500 steps altogether, individual step yield has to
                                                       considered. Standard deviation of the threshold voltage
           be very high. This is putting more and more demands
                                                       V T is given by
           on metrology: process monitoring precision and speed
           have to be increased so that more wafers can be             −8   0.4
                                                          σV T = 3.19 × 10 t ox N  / L eff W eff [V ]  (38.2)
           checked. However, scaling also introduces new aspects            A
           that need to be measured: for example, junction depth  Continued scaling to smaller dimensions together
           is a too simple one-dimensional measure; it needs to  with the increase in the number of devices per
           be complemented by the junction abruptness yardstick.  chip rapidly leads to situations in which not all
           With ultra low-k films, film thickness and density are  devices switch.
           not enough, the pore size and pore size distribution must
           be known.
                                                       38.6 IC INDUSTRY
             Despite aggressive linewidth scaling, the chip area
           keeps increasing. The number of defects per chip  The IC industry has been growing at 17% annually
           has to remain constant or decrease, which means that  for over 30 years, whereas the electronics industry as
           defect density has to be scaled down more aggressively  a whole grows only 7% annually. For the IC industry
           than linewidth. The chip area increases because of the  to keep growing at its historical rate, the IC content
           economic incentive to integrate as many functions as  of electronics has to rise at the expense of discrete
           possible on the chip, in order to reduce packaging  devices, circuit boards, connectors, displays, switches
           and assembly costs (as discussed in Chapter 37). At  and keyboards, or else IC growth will slow down. ICs
           the moment, it seems that lithographic lenses are  now account for 15% of the value of electronics. Is it
           limiting chip size increase: it has not been possible to  reasonable to expect it to rise to 30 or to 50%, like it is
           simultaneously improve resolution and to increase lens  in portable electronics?
           field size at the same pace. This, of course, applies
           mostly to evolutionary scaling of refractive optical
           systems; reflective optics, X-ray lithography or EPL  Mainframe computers (1980s)  8–10% of the value
           have their own scaling trends.                                         consists of ICs
             Chemicals, DI-water, process gases and targets have  Personal computers (1990s)  25–33% of the value
           been ‘scaled’ to higher and higher purity levels. Metal                consists of ICs
           impurity levels have been reduced by a factor of 100 in  Handheld devices (2000s)  40–50% of the value
           four technology generations. Measurement of minutiae                   consists of ICs
           impurities must be available for gases, liquids and
           solids. Cleanrooms have been ‘scaled’ to higher and  Measures from IC manufacturing can be used to
           higher standards of purity. Cleanliness today is so high  check if the rate of introduction of novel devices is
           that particle measurements have hit the barrier: there  slowing down. The ramp rate of production to high
           are simply not enough particles to statistically assess  volumes is one measure. There are some hints that this
           particle purity. With increasing cleanroom cost, there has  might be slowing down. The cost of a fab compared to
           been an incentive to find alternative operation modes.  the revenue it is assumed to generate during its lifetime
           Integrated processing is one such approach, keeping the  is another measure. Obviously, the former must be kept
           wafers under controlled ambient at all times.  to a fraction of the latter but recently the cost of the
             Statistics with extremely large or extremely small  fab has been rising faster than the revenue. Both these
           quantities can have some surprises even before ultimate  measures are tricky because the IC industry is very
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