Page 331 - Fundamentals of Gas Shale Reservoirs
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RESOURCE EVALUATION OF SHALE GAS PLAYS  311
            14.3.3  Reservoir Parameters Sensitivity Analysis    analyzed. Table 14.9 lists the primary properties. Besides
                                                                 area, net pay, porosity, and water saturation, shale‐gas
            Dong et  al. (2013) investigated the essential reservoir   OGIP is affected by gas content. Gas production from
            properties that affect the prediction of OGIP or TRR from   shale  gas reservoirs  is affected most  by completed  GIP
            shale  gas reservoirs. Fifteen different characteristics were
                                                                 resources, fracture system permeability, initial reservoir
            TAbLE 14.8  Well spacing for the four target shale gas plays   pressure, and gas desorption and diffusion characteristics,
            in the United States                                 relative  permeability characteristics, and fracture half‐length
                                                                 (Fig. 14.11). Since Langmuir pressure controls the shape of
                       Average lateral            Well spacing,   the sorption curve, it impacts how fast gas content changes.
            Plays      length, ft   Reservoir size  acres
                                                                 Langmuir volume controls the endpoint of the Langmuir
            Barnett       4000      4800 ft × 1000 ft  111       curve, but has almost no impact on the rate of change.
            Eagle Ford    5600      6400 ft × 1000 ft  147       Horizontal length and well spacing are controllable, so
            Marcellus     3700      4500 ft × 1000 ft  104       they were not considered to be uncertain parameters. Dong
            Haynesville   4700      5500 ft × 1000 ft
                                                                 et al. (2013) treated only net pay, initial pressure, system


            TAbLE 14.9  Data source for primary properties of shale gas reservoirs
            Primary property           Data source                                  Controllable    Large uncertainty
            Thickness                  Log analysis                                 No              Yes
            System permeability        Core analysis, well‐test analysis, production analysis  No   Yes
            Porosity                   MICP, NMR, log analysis                      No              Yes
            Water saturation           PID, openhole test                           No              Yes
            Gas content                Desorption canister testing and adsorption isotherms,   No   Yes
                                         calibrated log analysis
            Reservoir pressure         PID, PITA, openhole test                     No              Yes
            Effective fracture half‐length  Static: Postfracture net‐pressure analysis, postfracture   No  No
                                         flow and buildup
                                       Flowing: Rate‐transient analysis
            Lateral horizontal length  Well‐test analysis                           Yes             No
            Well spacing               Well‐test analysis                           Yes             No


                             60


                             40

                             20

                           TRR (%)  0



                            –20


                            –40


                            –60
                              –50    –40    –30   –20    –10     0     10    20     30     40     50
                                                           Parameters (%)
                                       Lateral length        Net pay             Initial pressure
                                       Permeability          Porosity            Water saturation
                                       Fracture half–length  Langmuir volume     Langmuir pressure

                           FIGURE 14.11  Sensitivity analysis result of shale gas technically recoverable resources (TRR).
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