Page 269 - Industrial Process Plant Construction Estimating and Man Hour Analysis
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248 Industrial process plant construction estimating and man-hour analysis



              TABLE 12.5.1 Linear regression: fitting a straight line

              Description                           Quantity          MH
                                                    Y                 X
              Engines, couplings, and generators (B2)
              Engine generator set 296962#          14                2792
              Spring element                        280               924
              Anchoring plate with AB               280               924


                 COVAR (R 1 , R 2 )     110419.56
                 VARP (R 2 )            15723.56
                 SLOPE (R 1 , R 2 )     7.02
                 INTERCEPT (R 1 , R 2 )  2890.32
                  3000
                  2500
                Man hour  2000  y = –7.0226x + 2890.3         Series1
                  1500
                  1000
                              2
                   500       R  = 1                           Linear (Series1)
                     0                                        Linear (Series1)
                      0        100       200       300
                                  Quantity
            FIG. 12.5.1 Set engine, couplings, and generator.
                 CORREL (R 1 , R 2 ) ¼ correlation coefficient  1.0000
                 CORREL (R 1 , R 2 ) 2 ¼ coefficient determination 1.0000
                             ^
                                          2
                 The coefficient of determination, R , is exactly +1 and indicates a positive fit
              (Fig. 12.5.1).
                 All data points lie exactly on the straight line. The relationship between X and Y
              variables is such that as X increases, Y also decreases.

              Example 12.5.2
              Coal-fired power plant (Table 12.5.2)
                 Install FD fan


                                    FD fan
                                    Set fan and seal weld housing
                                    Coupling alignment
                                    Install damper

                 Scope of field work for field assemble and erect FD fan
                 Data for input: Man-hours for field assembly and erection of FD fan.
                 Quantity (y): R 1 = 2, 0.5, and 1
                 Man-hour (x): R 2 = 140, 40, and 60
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